Data for: How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach

Main Author: Eickmeier, Sandra
Format: Dataset
Terbitan: Mendeley , 2016
Subjects:
Online Access: https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/yk7py7nncz
ctrlnum 0.17632-yk7py7nncz.1
fullrecord <?xml version="1.0"?> <dc><creator>Eickmeier, Sandra</creator><title>Data for: How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach </title><publisher>Mendeley</publisher><description>Abstract of associated article: We study how US credit supply shocks are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983&#x2013;2009. We experiment with inter-country links based on bilateral trade, portfolio investment, foreign direct investment and banking exposures. Capturing both bilateral trade and financial exposures in a GVAR fits the data better than using trade weights only. We use sign restrictions on the short-run impulse responses in the US model to identify the credit supply shocks. We find that negative credit supply shocks have strong negative effects on US and foreign GDP. Credit and equity markets in several countries respond clearly to the shocks. Exchange rate responses are consistent with a &#x201C;flight to quality&#x201D; to the US dollar. The credit supply shocks explain about a fifth of one-year-ahead output forecast error variance in the US and about a tenth in the euro area and the UK, but considerably less elsewhere.</description><subject>Economics</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><type>Other:Dataset</type><identifier>10.17632/yk7py7nncz.1</identifier><rights>Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported</rights><rights>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0</rights><relation>https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/yk7py7nncz</relation><date>2016-12-09T14:44:53Z</date><recordID>0.17632-yk7py7nncz.1</recordID></dc>
format Other:Dataset
Other
author Eickmeier, Sandra
title Data for: How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach
publisher Mendeley
publishDate 2016
topic Economics
Macroeconomics
url https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/yk7py7nncz
contents Abstract of associated article: We study how US credit supply shocks are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983–2009. We experiment with inter-country links based on bilateral trade, portfolio investment, foreign direct investment and banking exposures. Capturing both bilateral trade and financial exposures in a GVAR fits the data better than using trade weights only. We use sign restrictions on the short-run impulse responses in the US model to identify the credit supply shocks. We find that negative credit supply shocks have strong negative effects on US and foreign GDP. Credit and equity markets in several countries respond clearly to the shocks. Exchange rate responses are consistent with a “flight to quality” to the US dollar. The credit supply shocks explain about a fifth of one-year-ahead output forecast error variance in the US and about a tenth in the euro area and the UK, but considerably less elsewhere.
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first_indexed 2020-04-08T08:30:35Z
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