Data for: Forecasting ability of the investor sentiment endurance index: The case of oil service stock returns and crude oil prices
| Main Author: | Casey, K. Michael |
|---|---|
| Format: | Dataset |
| Terbitan: |
Mendeley
, 2016
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/rm5dygcpsy |
| ctrlnum |
0.17632-rm5dygcpsy.1 |
|---|---|
| fullrecord |
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<dc><creator>Casey, K. Michael</creator><title>Data for: Forecasting ability of the investor sentiment endurance index: The case of oil service stock returns and crude oil prices </title><publisher>Mendeley</publisher><description>Abstract of associated article: Using a binomial probability distribution model this paper creates an endurance index of oil service investor sentiment. The index reflects the probability of the high or low stock price being the close price for the PHLX Oil Service Sector Index. Results of this study reveal the substantial forecasting ability of the sentiment endurance index. Monthly and quarterly rolling forecasts of returns of oil service stocks have an overall accuracy as high as 52% to 57%. In addition, the index shows decent forecasting ability on changes in crude oil prices, especially, WTI prices. The accuracy of 6-quarter rolling forecasts is 55%. The sentiment endurance index, along with the procedure of true forecasting and accuracy ratio, applied in this study provides investors and analysts of oil service sector stocks and crude oil prices as well as energy policy-makers with effective analytical tools.</description><subject>Economics</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><type>Other:Dataset</type><identifier>10.17632/rm5dygcpsy.1</identifier><rights>Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported</rights><rights>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0</rights><relation>https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/rm5dygcpsy</relation><date>2016-11-30T15:52:25Z</date><recordID>0.17632-rm5dygcpsy.1</recordID></dc>
|
| format |
Other:Dataset Other |
| author |
Casey, K. Michael |
| title |
Data for: Forecasting ability of the investor sentiment endurance index: The case of oil service stock returns and crude oil prices |
| publisher |
Mendeley |
| publishDate |
2016 |
| topic |
Economics Macroeconomics |
| url |
https:/data.mendeley.com/datasets/rm5dygcpsy |
| contents |
Abstract of associated article: Using a binomial probability distribution model this paper creates an endurance index of oil service investor sentiment. The index reflects the probability of the high or low stock price being the close price for the PHLX Oil Service Sector Index. Results of this study reveal the substantial forecasting ability of the sentiment endurance index. Monthly and quarterly rolling forecasts of returns of oil service stocks have an overall accuracy as high as 52% to 57%. In addition, the index shows decent forecasting ability on changes in crude oil prices, especially, WTI prices. The accuracy of 6-quarter rolling forecasts is 55%. The sentiment endurance index, along with the procedure of true forecasting and accuracy ratio, applied in this study provides investors and analysts of oil service sector stocks and crude oil prices as well as energy policy-makers with effective analytical tools. |
| id |
IOS7969.0.17632-rm5dygcpsy.1 |
| institution |
Universitas Islam Indragiri |
| affiliation |
onesearch.perpusnas.go.id |
| institution_id |
804 |
| institution_type |
library:university library |
| library |
Teknologi Pangan UNISI |
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2816 |
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Artikel mulono |
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7969 |
| city |
INDRAGIRI HILIR |
| province |
RIAU |
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1 |
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IOS7969 |
| first_indexed |
2020-04-08T08:12:41Z |
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2020-04-08T08:12:41Z |
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dc |
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1686587395343908864 |
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17.538404 |