Studi Prakiraan Beban Harian Sistem Kelistrikan
| Main Author: | Ade Irawaty Tolago |
|---|---|
| Format: | Journal |
| Terbitan: |
, 2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
http://repository.ung.ac.id/hasilriset/show//616/studi-prakiraan-beban-harian-sistem-kelistrikan.html |
Daftar Isi:
- The aim of this research is to explain profile of increasing SULSELs daily load system and to forecast the next day SULSELs daily load system based on a previously historic data. It is also one alternative in strategic plan of loading for future especially in forecasting daily load. This research was conducted by collecting daily load in PT PLN (persero) and temperature data in BMG office. Both of the data were historic data which are categorized into time and day. After that these were combined in one file by ordering (1) time, (2) day, (3) temperature, and (4) load. These data were made to be one as input data for simulation on TOOLBOX FUZZY LOGIC. This simulation used mat lab R14 version 7.0.1. The simulation process was done by using TOOLBOX FUZZY LOGIC for forecast the next daily load by counting profile of increasing load and, then it was counted error analysis between actual data and the result of obtained forecasting data. This was showed in the result of MAPE and standard of deviation. The result of simulation showed that Fuzzy logic could forecast the next daily load accurately. This is proved by result of average percentage error (MAPE) was about 5, 41 %. The value was under of tolerance range + 10 % with level deviation standard was 23, 72. Key words: Load of daily, Load forecasting,MAPE,Standar Deviation