DINAMIKA SISTEM MILITER DAN KONDISI KEAMANAN DI ASIA TENGAH PASCA BUBARNYA UNI SOVIET
| Main Authors: | , Bayu Suryantomo, , Prof. Dr. Jahja Muhaimin |
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| Format: | Thesis NonPeerReviewed |
| Terbitan: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
, 2011
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
https://repository.ugm.ac.id/88808/ http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=50496 |
Daftar Isi:
- The dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 created five new independent Central Asian states and fundamentally changed the strategic configuration of the wider Central Asian region, although the implications of this geo-strategic upheaval could not be predicted with any certainty at that time. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union there were fears that ethnic strife and conflict would spread through the complicated ethnic matrix formed by Central Asia. There is a potential for conflict within the region and the risk of Central Asia turning into a highly unstable region is quite real. Meanwhile, another regional powers began to seek influence in Central Asia as Russia loosing its grip upon this region. It may be argued that the active engagement of external powers in Central Asia is likely to contribute to peace and stability in the region and that contacts with the wider international community can enhance opportunities for the Central Asian states to develop their economies, build more democratic societies and resolve conflicts. However, this rationale for �geopolitical or geo-strategic pluralism� has yet to be confirmed. Moreover, legitimate concerns can be raised that the manner in which regional powers engage in Central Asia can re-ignite old conflicts and give rise to new ones. Regional powers carefully monitor the involvement of other powers in the fragile Central Asian states and assess the potential impact of new foreign ties on the balance within the region. The existence of a wide variety of internal sources of instability within Central Asia means that the potential for conflict is ever-present and the growing influence of foreign states and transnational influences in the region could deepen divisions within vulnerable societies. Foreign companies and foreign governments with agendas of their own could act as rivals, with deleterious effects on the interests of the states in the region. At the same time local groups or interests may be inclined to exploit the opportunities provided by the presence of external actors to the detriment of other states or groups in the region.