RESPONS DAN PROYEKSI PENAWARAN KOMODITAS JAGUNG DI INDONESIA
| Main Authors: | , ASRIANI, , Prof.Dr.Ir.Masyhuri |
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| Format: | Thesis NonPeerReviewed |
| Terbitan: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
, 2013
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
https://repository.ugm.ac.id/120803/ http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=60841 |
Daftar Isi:
- Corn is one crop that has a strategic role and economic value as well as have the opportunity to be developed due to its position as the main source of carbohydrates and protein after rice as food, feed and biofuels. By the issuance of Presidential Decree Number: 5 Year 2006 on National Energy Policy which is supported by the issuance of Presidential Instruction Number: 1 Year 2006, the role of the food sector is becoming increasingly important for agricultural food commodities also has the potential to be a raw material for biofuels as an alternative energy which in 2025 is expected to contribute over five percent. Corn is one of potensial commodity to be a biofuel particularly in the form of bioethanol. Along with the expanding role of corn, the corn demand will increase. This must be accompanied by the production (and supply) increasing that domestic corn demand can be met. This study aims (1) to analyze factors that affect the response of corn suppy in Indonesia, (2) to estimate the short term and long term response of corn supply and (3) and to estimate corn supply in year 2025 it use two approaches wich are crop area and produtivity approach. The data used are time series data from year 1980 to year 2011. The analytical method used is the Nerlove partial adjustment model of a single regression equation with Natural Logarithm function and the estimation technique is Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The results shows that the response of crop area is affected by price of corn, cassava price and BLBU policy. While the productivity response is influenced by the price of corn, lag of productivity, Gema Palagung policy and BLBU policy. The elasticity of corn-supply response in the sort term is 0.456 and 1.537 in the long term, it means that the changing price of corn affecting in elastistic corn-supply in the short run and elastic corn-supply in the long run. Based on the value of the corn supply elasticity in Indonesia, the supply of corn in 2025 is projected at 43.627.987 tons, while the projected domestic demand corn is 40.424.963 tons. It can be concluded that the self-sufficiency program and net export of corn will be achieved, and target of �above 5 percent contribution corn as a raw material of biofuel� would be met.