ESTIMASI NILAI CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVaR) PORTOFOLIO MENGGUNAKAN METODE EVT-GJR-VINE COPULA

Main Authors: SUDINA, NI WAYAN UCHI YUSHI ARI, DHARMAWAN, KOMANG, SUMARJAYA, I WAYAN
Format: Article info application/pdf eJournal
Bahasa: eng
Terbitan: Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University , 2019
Online Access: https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/46508
https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/46508/28048
Daftar Isi:
  • Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is widely used in risk measure that takes into account losses exceeding the value at risk level. The aim of this research is to compare the performance of the EVT-GJR-vine copula method and EVT-GARCH-vine copula method in estimating CVaR of the portfolio using backtesting. Based on the backtesting results, it was found that the EVT-GJR-vine copula method have better performance when compared to the EVT-GARCH-vine copula method in estimating the CVaR value of the portfolio. This can be seen from the statistical values ??, and  of EVT-GJR-vine copula method which is generally smaller than the statistical values , and of the EVT-GARCH-vine copula method.