Model risiko investasi proyek pembangunan kereta api bandara Soekarno Hatta = Investment risk model for Soekarno Hatta international airport railway infrastructure development
| Format: | Bachelors |
|---|---|
| Terbitan: |
[Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia]
, 2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: |
http://lib.ui.ac.id/file?file=digital/2015-9/20402239-S57219-Grace Anastasia.pdf |
Daftar Isi:
- [Soekarno-Hatta International Airport is the main airport serving the greater Jakarta area on the island of Java, Indonesia, ranked the world’s 10th busiest airport in terms of passenger numbers (over the year 2013) and was the 4th busiest airport in the Asia Pacific. In 2013, Soekarno-Hatta International Airport serves 60.1 million passengers, which are 80% of them domiciled in West Java or outside Jakarta. The increasing traffic density in Jakarta and along Prof. Ir. Sedyatmo highway (airport toll) cause access to the airport by using car, taxi or bus becomes less effective and efficient in terms of time and fuel consumption. Therefore, the role of the airport railway becomes very crucial to provide a convenient, fast, and efficient public transport. The infrastructure development of airport railway considered as a high risk project due to many uncertainties that could delay the project. This paper identified and analyzed risks that could occur in quantitative and qualitative way by using project risk management. The results of this research were in form of risk register and value at risk (VaR) toward financial parameter that used (NPV, IRR, Payback Period) to estimate how great the risk(s) would affect project financially. In the end section, there were some recomendations about strategy to response a risk whether it was supposed to be accepted, avoided, mitigated, or transfered, This research expected could become a consideration for Soekarno Hatta ariport railway project operator so loss due to occurence of risks could be minimized, or it could become a reference for future airport railway infrastructure development projects., Afolabi, E. (2011). Examining Public Private Partnership in Nigeria: Potentials and Challenges. resourcedat.com. Caltrans. (2003). Project Risk Management Handbook. Sacramento. Centre for Sustainability in Mining and Industry (CSMI) (2010).Good Practice Note: Public Infrastructure and Mining. www.eisourcebook.org Cheung, E., Chan, A. P., & Kajewski, S. (2010). Suitability of procuring large public works by PPP in Hong Kong. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 17(3), 292-308. Chinyere, I. I., & Xu, X. (2011). Public-Private Partnerships: The Underlining Principles of Infrastructure Investment, Finance and Development Projects. International Journal of Business and Management, 7(1), p109. Chou, J. S., Ping Tserng, H., Lin, C., & Yeh, C. P. (2012). Critical factors and risk allocation for PPP policy: Comparison between HSR and general infrastructure projects. Transport Policy, 22, 36-48. Ghosh, S., & Jintanapakanont, J. (2004). Identifying and assessing the critical risk factors in an underground rail project in Thailand: a factor analysis approach. International Journal of Project Management, 22(8), 633-643. Grimsey, D., & Lewis, M. (2007). Public private partnerships: The worldwide revolution in infrastructure provision and project finance. Edward Elgar Publishing. Latif, R. U. (2013). Model Resiko Public Private Partnership (PPP) Infrastruktur Bandar Udara di Indonesia. Bandara Internasional Soekarno Hatta sebagai pintu gerbang utama Indonesia yang melayani wilayah Jabodetabek dan sekitarnya, termasuk 10 besar Bandara tersibuk di dunia dan tersibuk ke-4 untuk wilayah Asia Pasifik. Pada tahun 2013, Bandara Soekarno Hatta tercatat melayani lebih dari 60.1 juta penumpang dengan 80% diantaranya berasal dari Jawa Barat atau luar Jakarta. Kepadatan lalu lintas yang semakin meningkat di Jakarta termasuk di jalan tol Prof. Ir. Sedyatmo (tol bandara) membuat akses menuju bandara menggunakan mobil, taksi atau bus menjadi kurang efektif dan efisien dari segi waktu dan konsumsi bahan bakar. Oleh karena itu, peran kereta api bandara menjadi sangat dibutuhkan untuk menyediakan sarana angkutan umum yang nyaman, cepat, dan efisien. Akan tetapi, dibutuhkan modal yang sangat besar untuk melakukan pembangunan infrasturuktur kereta api bandara dengan segala risiko dan ketidakpastian yang dapat menghambat proyek. Penelitian ini mengidentifikasi, dan menganalisis risiko yang mungkin terjadi pada proyek Kereta Api Bandara Soekarno Hatta secara kuantitatif dan kualitatif untuk mengetahui dampak dari risiko-risiko tersebut dengan metode Manajemen Risiko. Hasil dari penelitian ini ialah berupa daftar kemungkinan risiko dalam bentuk Risk Register dan Value at Risk atas parameter finansial yang digunakan (NPV, IRR, dan payback period) untuk melihat besar pengaruh suatu risiko atau beberapa risiko terhadap kondisi finansial proyek. Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, dibuatlah perencanaan pengelolaan risiko. Skripsi ini diharapkan dapat menjadi referensi atau pertimbangan dalam mengelola dan memitigasi risiko khususnya untuk proyek-proyek pembangunan infrastruktur kereta api bandara ke depannya., Soekarno-Hatta International Airport is the main airport serving the greater Jakarta area on the island of Java, Indonesia, ranked the world’s 10th busiest airport in terms of passenger numbers (over the year 2013) and was the 4th busiest airport in the Asia Pacific. In 2013, Soekarno-Hatta International Airport serves 60.1 million passengers, which are 80% of them domiciled in West Java or outside Jakarta. The increasing traffic density in Jakarta and along Prof. Ir. Sedyatmo highway (airport toll) cause access to the airport by using car, taxi or bus becomes less effective and efficient in terms of time and fuel consumption. Therefore, the role of the airport railway becomes very crucial to provide a convenient, fast, and efficient public transport. The infrastructure development of airport railway considered as a high risk project due to many uncertainties that could delay the project. This paper identified and analyzed risks that could occur in quantitative and qualitative way by using project risk management. The results of this research were in form of risk register and value at risk (VaR) toward financial parameter that used (NPV, IRR, Payback Period) to estimate how great the risk(s) would affect project financially. In the end section, there were some recomendations about strategy to response a risk whether it was supposed to be accepted, avoided, mitigated, or transfered, This research expected could become a consideration for Soekarno Hatta ariport railway project operator so loss due to occurence of risks could be minimized, or it could become a reference for future airport railway infrastructure development projects.]