Real-time urban traffic state estimation and prediction using a data-fusion framework based on link neighbors

Main Authors: Luuk O de Vries, Luc J J Wismans, Eric van Berkum
Format: Proceeding eJournal
Terbitan: , 2018
Subjects:
Online Access: https://zenodo.org/record/1456427
ctrlnum 1456427
fullrecord <?xml version="1.0"?> <dc schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd"><creator>Luuk O de Vries</creator><creator>Luc J J Wismans</creator><creator>Eric van Berkum</creator><date>2018-04-16</date><description>Effective ITS and traffic management purposes requires a complete and accurate information about current and predicted traffic states in the transport network. The current state-of-the-art in literature regarding traffic state estimation and prediction yields efforts which mostly focus on highways, which are not bluntly transferrable to an urban environment and do not maximize the utilization of all available traffic data. This paper describes the development and assessment of a data-driven traffic state estimation and prediction framework for application in an urban environment. It uses the intuitive relationship between past, current and future traffic states on neighboring links to train and improve estimation/prediction accuracy and fill the gaps on those links where no floating car data are available. Additionally, this framework is tested on the well-known Sioux Falls Scenario. When penetration rate of floating cars is 5%, on average 50% of the urban links are estimated within 5 km/h accuracy. For a prediction horizon of 5 minutes, it performs almost equal with a percentage of 49%.</description><identifier>https://zenodo.org/record/1456427</identifier><identifier>10.5281/zenodo.1456427</identifier><identifier>oai:zenodo.org:1456427</identifier><relation>doi:10.5281/zenodo.1456426</relation><relation>url:https://zenodo.org/communities/tra2018</relation><rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</rights><rights>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode</rights><subject>Traffic Data, Data Fusion Framework, Traffic State Estimation, Traffic State Prediction, Urban Traffic Network, Real-Time, Data-Driven Approach, Link-Neighborhoods.</subject><title>Real-time urban traffic state estimation and prediction using a data-fusion framework based on link neighbors</title><type>Journal:Proceeding</type><type>Journal:Proceeding</type><recordID>1456427</recordID></dc>
format Journal:Proceeding
Journal
Journal:eJournal
author Luuk O de Vries
Luc J J Wismans
Eric van Berkum
title Real-time urban traffic state estimation and prediction using a data-fusion framework based on link neighbors
publishDate 2018
topic Traffic Data
Data Fusion Framework
Traffic State Estimation
Traffic State Prediction
Urban Traffic Network
Real-Time
Data-Driven Approach
Link-Neighborhoods
url https://zenodo.org/record/1456427
contents Effective ITS and traffic management purposes requires a complete and accurate information about current and predicted traffic states in the transport network. The current state-of-the-art in literature regarding traffic state estimation and prediction yields efforts which mostly focus on highways, which are not bluntly transferrable to an urban environment and do not maximize the utilization of all available traffic data. This paper describes the development and assessment of a data-driven traffic state estimation and prediction framework for application in an urban environment. It uses the intuitive relationship between past, current and future traffic states on neighboring links to train and improve estimation/prediction accuracy and fill the gaps on those links where no floating car data are available. Additionally, this framework is tested on the well-known Sioux Falls Scenario. When penetration rate of floating cars is 5%, on average 50% of the urban links are estimated within 5 km/h accuracy. For a prediction horizon of 5 minutes, it performs almost equal with a percentage of 49%.
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