Unsupervised Text Mining Approach to Early Warning System

Main Authors: Ichihan Tai, Bill Olson, Paul Blessner
Format: Article eJournal
Bahasa: eng
Terbitan: , 2016
Subjects:
Online Access: https://zenodo.org/record/1124099
ctrlnum 1124099
fullrecord <?xml version="1.0"?> <dc schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd"><creator>Ichihan Tai</creator><creator>Bill Olson</creator><creator>Paul Blessner</creator><date>2016-03-02</date><description>Traditional early warning systems that alarm against crisis are generally based on structured or numerical data; therefore, a system that can make predictions based on unstructured textual data, an uncorrelated data source, is a great complement to the traditional early warning systems. The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), commonly referred to as the fear index, measures the cost of insurance against market crash, and spikes in the event of crisis. In this study, news data is consumed for prediction of whether there will be a market-wide crisis by predicting the movement of the fear index, and the historical references to similar events are presented in an unsupervised manner. Topic modeling-based prediction and representation are made based on daily news data between 1990 and 2015 from The Wall Street Journal against VIX index data from CBOE.</description><identifier>https://zenodo.org/record/1124099</identifier><identifier>10.5281/zenodo.1124099</identifier><identifier>oai:zenodo.org:1124099</identifier><language>eng</language><relation>doi:10.5281/zenodo.1124098</relation><relation>url:https://zenodo.org/communities/waset</relation><rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</rights><rights>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode</rights><subject>Early Warning System</subject><subject>Knowledge Management</subject><subject>Topic Modeling</subject><subject>Market Prediction.</subject><title>Unsupervised Text Mining Approach to Early Warning System</title><type>Journal:Article</type><type>Journal:Article</type><recordID>1124099</recordID></dc>
language eng
format Journal:Article
Journal
Journal:eJournal
author Ichihan Tai
Bill Olson
Paul Blessner
title Unsupervised Text Mining Approach to Early Warning System
publishDate 2016
topic Early Warning System
Knowledge Management
Topic Modeling
Market Prediction
url https://zenodo.org/record/1124099
contents Traditional early warning systems that alarm against crisis are generally based on structured or numerical data; therefore, a system that can make predictions based on unstructured textual data, an uncorrelated data source, is a great complement to the traditional early warning systems. The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), commonly referred to as the fear index, measures the cost of insurance against market crash, and spikes in the event of crisis. In this study, news data is consumed for prediction of whether there will be a market-wide crisis by predicting the movement of the fear index, and the historical references to similar events are presented in an unsupervised manner. Topic modeling-based prediction and representation are made based on daily news data between 1990 and 2015 from The Wall Street Journal against VIX index data from CBOE.
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