Brief communication: Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability and its changes under historical and anthropogenic forcing
Main Authors: | Van Achter Guillian, Ponsoni Leandro, Massonnet François, Fichefet Thierry, Vincent Legat |
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Format: | Article Journal |
Terbitan: |
, 2020
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: |
https://zenodo.org/record/4461468 |
Daftar Isi:
- We use model simulations from the CESM1-CAM5-BGC-LE dataset to characterise the Arctic sea ice thickness internal variability both spatially and temporally. These properties, and their stationarity, are investigated in three different contexts: (1) constant pre-industrial, (2) historical and (3) projected conditions. Spatial modes of variability show highly stationary patterns regardless of the forcing and mean state. A temporal analysis reveals two peaks of significant variability, and despite a non-stationarity on short timescales, they remain more or less stable until the first half of the 21st century, where they start to change once summer ice-free events occur, after 2050