Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar dan Suku Bunga Valuta Asing Terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia Tahun 2005-2017
Daftar Isi:
- This research is entitled "The Influence of Inflation, Exchange Rate and Foreign Currency Interest Rates on Foreign Exchange Reserves in Indonesia in 2005-2017". The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of inflation, the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar and interest rates on foreign exchange on foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia in 2005-2017. Analyze the effect of inflation and the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar on net exports in Indonesia in 2005-2017. Analyze the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar and interest rates on foreign exchange against portfolio investment in Indonesia in 2005-2017. This research was conducted by analyzing data data available on the Bank Indonesia website and processed using quantitative analysis techniques. The analytical tool used uses a path analysis tool. The scope of this study covers nationally, by analyzing the factors that influence foreign exchange reserves, among others inflation, the exchange rate of the dollar against the US dollar and interest rates on foreign currencies and the intermediate variables consisting of net exports and portfolio investment. The results of this study indicate that inflation has a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves directly, but not significant if through net exports. The exchange rate has no significant effect on foreign exchange reserves directly, through net exports or through portfolio investment. Foreign currency interest rates have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves but have no significant effect on foreign exchange reserves but are not significant through portfolio investment. Inflation has no significant effect on net exports, but the exchange rate has a significant effect on net exports. Exchange rates and interest rates on foreign currencies have no significant effect on portfolio investment. Simultaneously, inflation, exchange rate and foreign currency interest rates affect foreign exchange reserves by 76.3 percent both directly and through net exports and portfolio investment. The implication of this study is that the government needs to pay attention to the factors that affect foreign exchange reserves as a whole, not just focus on one variable. Variables that have a significant influence on foreign exchange reserves need more attention such as inflation and interest rates on foreign exchange.