Volatilitas Harga Saham di Indonesia dan Malaysia

Main Author: Kartika, Andi
Format: Article info application/pdf eJournal
Bahasa: eng
Terbitan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi ASET , 2010
Online Access: http://jurnal.widyamanggala.ac.id/index.php/asetwm/article/view/18
http://jurnal.widyamanggala.ac.id/index.php/asetwm/article/view/18/14
Daftar Isi:
  • Disintermediatior phenomena in financial market show that many people tendto invest in capital market more than in banking. That’s happened, because the return onstock is profitable than banking interest rate. But, there is a big risk in capital market. It’snatural, financial market says that high risk high return, low risk low return. So, if we do notwant to loss, we must have ability to analyze stock performance, specially volatility of stock.This research useed ARCH/GARCH Model to estimate volatility. The research showed thatstock growth in 2007 – 2009 tended to decrease for all index (JSX and KLCI). JSX and KLCIjust had ARCH effect, so the index influenced volatility this time price index. The researchalso showed, that α value e” 0,7 and sum of α and β almost one for all index (JSX and KLCI).That means, the volatility shock was persistent or the volatility was high and persistent. Keywords : ARCH, GARCH, volatility and persistent