Daftar Isi:
  • The research aim is to apply methods of GIS-based spatial analysis for modelling, quantitative estimation of the crucial thresholds for losses and changes in the mangrove ecosystems of north-eastern Australia, Queensland, as well as qualitative analysis of the impact of coastal changes on the mangrove sustainable development, and forecasting the possible scenarios in their future dynamics. The spatial analysis includes the classification of the research area into different zones by means of the environmental conditions and dynamics of the coastal areas to investigate the spatial patterns of the species diversity in the mangrove ecosystems. Spatial analysis of the dynamics in coastal zones enables to model scenarios in the behaviour and adaptation of the mangrove trees towards the changing environmental conditions in the coastal areas, to estimate the consequences in the development of the coastal zones, and finally to assess the capability of the mangrove ecosystems to resist the negative impacts caused by their buffer location between the marine and terrestrial areas. The dynamics of the changes will be studied using raster processing of the satellite images, and cover research period of approximately 40 years: since early 1970-s up to the latest time.